Crema vs Correggese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 33 Stadio Giuseppe Voltini· Crema Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Crema PPG 1.06

0-0 HIT CS2

Correggese PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Crema face Correggese in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crema a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Correggese 30%, so Crema are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Crema and 1.0 for Correggese (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crema are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.88 for Correggese. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 32.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 29.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 17.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Crema

1.20

Correggese

0.99

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.88)