Sangiuliano C. vs Desenzano Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 34 Campo Sportivo Comunale Zivido· San Giuliano Milanese Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Sangiuliano C. PPG 1.38

0-5 MISS

Desenzano PPG 2.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sangiuliano C. face Desenzano in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sangiuliano C. a 23% chance, the draw 31% and Desenzano 46%, so Desenzano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sangiuliano C. and 1.4 for Desenzano (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sangiuliano C. are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.44 for Desenzano. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 46.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 48.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sangiuliano C.

0.94

Desenzano

1.42

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs Home AVERAGE (1.38)