Lentigione vs SantAngelo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 34 Immergas Stadium - Levantini· Lentigione Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Lentigione PPG 2.13

2-2 MISS

SantAngelo PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lentigione face SantAngelo in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lentigione a 58% chance, the draw 28% and SantAngelo 15%, so Lentigione are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lentigione and 0.7 for SantAngelo (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lentigione are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.81 for SantAngelo. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 27.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 14.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 21.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lentigione

1.65

SantAngelo

0.73

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 56%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=57.7%