Leagues / ITALY / Serie D - Girone B

Serie D - Girone B

ITALY · 24 MATCHES TRACKED · 19 APR 2026 – 3 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 24 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

29.2%

1X2

7/24

50.0%

O/U 2.5

12/24

75.0%

BTTS

18/24

33.3%

Exact score

8/24

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

2/4

1.76

Avg odds

-23.0%

ROI

-0.9u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -23.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

-8.5%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-37.5%

ROI

Match log

24 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 4 PICKS · 4 HIT · 0 MISS

3 MAY AC Milan B vs Vogherese Home -18% 10–1 HIT 3 MAY Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY Oltrepo vs Brusaporto — NO PICK 2–1 —3 MAY Ciserano vs Castellanzese — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY Chievo vs Pavia BTTS 2–1 HIT 3 MAY Caldiero Terme vs Varesina BTTS 2–2 HIT 3 MAY Breno vs Villa Alme BTTS 2–1 HIT

April 2026 // 5 PICKS · 5 HIT · 0 MISS

26 APR Scanzorosciate vs USD Casatese — NO PICK 0–3 —26 APR Brusaporto vs F. Caratese — NO PICK 3–1 —26 APR Castellanzese vs AC Milan B BTTS 1–3 HIT 26 APR Pavia vs Ciserano — NO PICK 3–0 —26 APR Sondrio vs Real Calepina BTTS 5–1 HIT 26 APR Varesina vs Breno BTTS 2–2 HIT 26 APR Villa Alme vs Oltrepo BTTS 1–3 HIT 26 APR Vogherese vs Caldiero Terme Away 0–6 HIT