Vogherese vs Caldiero Terme Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Italy - Serie D - Girone B Group B - 33 Stadio Comunale Giovanni Parisi· Voghera Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Vogherese PPG 0.56

0-6 MISS

Caldiero Terme PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vogherese face Caldiero Terme in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vogherese a 14% chance, the draw 29% and Caldiero Terme 57%, so Caldiero Terme are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Vogherese and 1.7 for Caldiero Terme (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vogherese are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.25 for Caldiero Terme. This match finished 0-6.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 56.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vogherese

0.61

Caldiero Terme

1.69

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 75%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.56)