Caldiero Terme vs Varesina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Italy - Serie D - Girone B Group B - 34 Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini· Verona Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Caldiero Terme PPG 1.31

2-2 MISS

Varesina PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Caldiero Terme face Varesina in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Caldiero Terme a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Varesina 27%, so Caldiero Terme are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Caldiero Terme and 1.1 for Varesina (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Caldiero Terme are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.50 for Varesina. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 27.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Caldiero Terme

1.41

Varesina

1.09

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away GOOD (1.50)