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Pavia vs Ciserano Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Italy - Serie D - Girone B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone B Group B - 33 Stadio Pietro Fortunati· Pavia Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00
Pavia logo Pavia PPG 1.06
3-0 MISS
Ciserano logo Ciserano PPG 1.25
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pavia face Ciserano in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pavia a 30% chance, the draw 35% and Ciserano 35%, so Ciserano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pavia and 0.9 for Ciserano (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pavia are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.25 for Ciserano. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 34.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 35.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 8.7% Odds: —
BTTS 48.3% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Pavia
0.74
Ciserano
0.92

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 75%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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