Breno vs Villa Alme Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B

Italy - Serie D - Girone B Group B - 34 Campo Sportivo Comunale Tassara· Breno Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Breno PPG 1.38

2-1 HIT CS4

Villa Alme PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Breno face Villa Alme in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Breno a 39% chance, the draw 30% and Villa Alme 31%, so Breno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Breno and 1.2 for Villa Alme (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Breno are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Villa Alme. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 31.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 25.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 53.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Breno

1.36

Villa Alme

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)