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Varesina PPG 0.63 
Breno PPG 0.75
Varesina vs Breno Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone B
Varesina PPG 0.632-2 MISS
Breno PPG 0.75 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Varesina face Breno in Italy - Serie D - Girone B on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Varesina a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Breno 25%, so Varesina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Varesina and 1.0 for Breno (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Varesina are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.75 for Breno. This match finished 2-2.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: — —
BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Varesina 1.49
Breno 0.98
Model Suggestion
BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 75%
Score Hit 33%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.75)