Benevento vs A. Cerignola Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

Benevento face A. Cerignola in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Benevento a 72% chance, the draw 21% and A. Cerignola 7%, so Benevento are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Benevento and 0.6 for A. Cerignola (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Benevento are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.22 for A. Cerignola. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +43.0%. This match finished 2-2.