Triestina vs Vicenza Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 38 Stadio Nereo Rocco· Trieste Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30

Triestina PPG 1.56

1-6 MISS

Vicenza PPG 2.28

Home· +11.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Triestina face Vicenza in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Triestina a 25% chance, the draw 27% and Vicenza 49%, so Vicenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Triestina and 1.5 for Vicenza (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Triestina are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 2.28 for Vicenza. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.2%. This match finished 1-6.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.7%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +11.2%

Draw 26.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.9%

Away 48.7%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -17.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 1.60 -30.9%

Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: 2.45 -45.4%

BTTS 47.1% Odds: 1.53 -27.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Triestina

0.95

Vicenza

1.45

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.28) vs Home GOOD (1.56)