Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Italy - Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 38 Stadio Ernesto Breda· Sesto San Giovanni Saturday, April 25, 2026 18:30

Alcione PPG 1.61

2-1 MISS

AlbinoLeffe PPG 1.11

Home· +51.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Alcione face AlbinoLeffe in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alcione a 54% chance, the draw 30% and AlbinoLeffe 16%, so Alcione are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Alcione and 0.6 for AlbinoLeffe (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alcione are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.11 for AlbinoLeffe. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +51.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.1%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +51.5%

Draw 29.7%

Odds: 2.88 EV: -14.5%

Away 16.3%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -58.4%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 27.6% Odds: 2.05 -43.4%

Over 3.5 11.3% Odds: 3.60 -59.3%

BTTS 30.6% Odds: 1.73 -47.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Alcione

1.27

AlbinoLeffe

0.56

Model SuggestionHome +51.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 32.0%

Bet Hit 70% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away AVERAGE (1.11)