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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 38 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore· Reggio Emilia Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30
Reggiana logo Reggiana PPG 1.22
1-0 HIT CS3
Sampdoria logo Sampdoria PPG 0.67
Home· +37.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.7%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +37.4%
Draw 30.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -0.5%
Away 30.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -35.7%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.25 +3.0%
Over 3.5 15.1% Odds: 4.20 -21.9%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.93 -7.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Reggiana
1.08
Sampdoria
0.96

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.67)

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