Avellino vs Modena Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 38 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi· Avellino Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30

Avellino PPG 1.61

1-0 HIT CS5

Modena PPG 1.33

Away· +148.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.1%

Odds: 1.56 EV: -53.0%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +5.0%

Away 41.4%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +148.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.00 -8.4%

Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 3.50 -20.3%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.95 +1.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Avellino

0.98

Modena

1.26

Model SuggestionBTTS +1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+148.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 6.9%

Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.61), Away AVERAGE (1.33)