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Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 
Frosinone PPG 2.11 
Mantova PPG 0.89
Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 Frosinone PPG 2.115-0 MISS
Mantova PPG 0.89Draw· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.50 -20.8%
Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 2.25 -22.1%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.53 -20.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Frosinone 1.88
Mantova 0.80
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -20.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -20.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=51.0%