Catanzaro vs Bari Prediction & Tips

Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 38 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo· Catanzaro Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30

Catanzaro PPG 1.94

2-3 MISS

Bari PPG 0.61

Home· +38.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 51.0%

Odds: 2.72 EV: +38.7%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -9.3%

Away 22.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -25.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.65 -12.4%

Over 3.5 29.2% Odds: 2.55 -15.3%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.48 -22.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Catanzaro

1.89

Bari

0.84

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=51.0%