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Italy - Serie B logo Italy flag Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 38 Stadio Comunale· Chiavari Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30
Entella logo Entella PPG 1.72
2-1 HIT CS5
Carrarese logo Carrarese PPG 0.83
Away· +52.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%
Odds: 1.59 EV: -37.0%
Draw 29.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +13.6%
Away 30.5%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +52.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.9% Odds: 1.65 -24.3%
Over 3.5 19.6% Odds: 2.65 -28.8%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.67 -12.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Entella
1.22
Carrarese
1.06

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+52.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.72) vs P(Home)=39.6%

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