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Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 
Venezia PPG 2.67 
Palermo PPG 1.44
Italy - Serie B Friday, May 8, 2026 18:30 Venezia PPG 2.672-0 HIT CS4
Palermo PPG 1.44Away· +9.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.65 -23.3%
Over 3.5 22.2% Odds: 2.65 -24.7%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.62 -15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✔
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Venezia 1.47
Palermo 0.93
Model Suggestion
BTTS -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 40 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 57%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 6.9%
Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=48.4%