| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | 25.0% | −5675.0% |
| Unrated | 2 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| BTTS | 3 | 33.3% | −4233.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @22% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | Best EV: Home @12% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @14% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Home @15% | 1 | 100.0% | +7300.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Away @6% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV: Away @105% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Ternana W vs AC Milan W | Over 2.5 | -13% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | Napoli W vs Sassuolo W | Home | -9% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 17 May | Parma W vs Juventus W | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| 17 May | Fiorentina W vs Lazio W | BTTS | -2% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 16 May | AS Roma W vs Genoa W | Home | -24% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 16 May | Inter Milan W vs Como W | Home | -24% EV | 0-3 | MISS |
| 10 May | AC Milan W vs Parma W | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| 10 May | Juventus W vs Inter Milan W | BTTS | -14% EV | 3-3 | HIT |
| 10 May | Sassuolo W vs AS Roma W | Away | -18% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 10 May | Lazio W vs Ternana W | Over 2.5 | -10% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 9 May | Como W vs Napoli W | BTTS | -8% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 9 May | Genoa W vs Fiorentina W | BTTS | -3% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 3 May | Parma W vs Lazio W | BTTS | -16% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 3 May | Fiorentina W vs Como W | BTTS | 10% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | Napoli W vs Juventus W | — | — | 2-3 | — |
| 2 May | Sassuolo W vs Genoa W | BTTS | -11% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | Inter Milan W vs AC Milan W | BTTS | 4% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | AS Roma W vs Ternana W | Home | -16% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Ternana W vs Fiorentina W | BTTS | 1% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Como W vs Parma W | Home | 22% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Juventus W vs AS Roma W | Home | 12% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Lazio W vs Sassuolo W | Home | 14% EV | 0-3 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | AC Milan W vs Napoli W | BTTS | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Genoa W vs Inter Milan W | Away | -5% EV | 1-2 | HIT |