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Juventus W vs Inter Milan W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Juventus W

PPG 1.90 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Inter Milan W

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-111.5%0-26.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.1%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.3%2-17.5%2-24.5%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.4%3-12.9%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 43.5% 2.30 -17.0%

Draw 28.3% 33.3% 3.00 -9.1%

Away win 35.6% 37.0% 2.70 -3.9%

Over 2.5 46.5% 51.3% 1.95 -9.3%

Over 3.5 20.8% 30.8% 3.25 -19.4%

BTTS 52.3% 60.6% 1.65 -13.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -32.9%

Bet Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus W1.1

Inter Milan W1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS W · PPG 1.90

INTER MILAN W · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.90) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Win probability 1X2

Juventus W (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.0%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.1%

Inter Milan W (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus W face Inter Milan W in Italy - Serie A Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus W a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Inter Milan W 36%, so Juventus W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Juventus W and 1.2 for Inter Milan W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus W are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 2.20 for Inter Milan W. This match finished 3-3.

Juventus W vs Inter Milan W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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