Fiorentina W vs Lazio W Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 22 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park· Bagno a Ripoli Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:00

Fiorentina W PPG 1.80

2-1 HIT CS2

Lazio W PPG 1.60

Over2.5· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -13.9%

Draw 26.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -9.1%

Away 28.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -3.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.73 +2.2%

Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: 2.75 -3.2%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.65 -1.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina W

1.63

Lazio W

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-1.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 38%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -71.2%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.60)