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Italy - Serie A Women logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 21 Stadio Enzo Ricci· Sassuolo Sunday, May 10, 2026 13:00
Sassuolo W logo Sassuolo W PPG 0.80
0-3 MISS
AS Roma W logo AS Roma W PPG 2.50
Draw· +3.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.1%
Odds: 6.50 EV: -8.9%
Draw 26.5%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +3.6%
Away 60.5%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -17.7%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.70 -20.9%
Over 3.5 22.7% Odds: 2.62 -24.3%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.85 -10.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo W
0.65
AS Roma W
1.78

Model Suggestion

Away -17.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -17.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.80)

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