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Italy - Serie A Women Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:00 
Lazio W PPG 1.40 
Ternana W PPG 0.40
Italy - Serie A Women Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:00 Lazio W PPG 1.402-0 HIT CS2
Ternana W PPG 0.40Away· +18.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.70 -10.2%
Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 2.75 -14.0%
BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.75 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✔
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio W 1.84
Ternana W 0.83
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 38%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -71.2%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=51.0%