Today / Italy - Serie A Women / Napoli W vs Juventus W

Napoli W vs Juventus W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 10:30

Napoli W

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Juventus W

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-112.7%0-26.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.7%1-113.5%1-27.2%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.7%2-17.1%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 18.5% 5.40 +77.7%

Draw 33.8% 27.4% 3.65 +23.4%

Away win 33.3% 66.7% 1.50 -50.0%

Over 2.5 35.6% 57.8% 1.73 -38.4%

Over 3.5 16.6% — — —

BTTS 44.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -32.9%

Bet Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.8%

D 34% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.0%

#3 0–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 12.7%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Napoli W1.1

Juventus W1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.6% · O3.5 PROB 16.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NAPOLI W · PPG 1.56

JUVENTUS W · PPG 1.44

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Napoli W (H) 32.9%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +77.7%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +23.4%

Juventus W (A) 33.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -50.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Napoli W face Juventus W in Italy - Serie A Women on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Napoli W a 33% chance, the draw 34% and Juventus W 33%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.1 for Napoli W and 1.1 for Juventus W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Napoli W are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.44 for Juventus W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +77.7%. This match finished 2-3.

Napoli W vs Juventus W Prediction— Italy - Serie A Women

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie A Women Predictions