Parma W vs Lazio W Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 20 Stadio Ennio Tardini· Parma Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:30

Parma W PPG 1.22

1-3 MISS

Lazio W PPG 1.44

Draw· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.6%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +0.8%

Draw 31.6%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +5.9%

Away 34.8%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -28.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.0% Odds: 1.73 -25.6%

Over 3.5 22.1% Odds: 3.00 -33.7%

BTTS 50.7% Odds: 1.65 -16.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma W

1.19

Lazio W

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.44)