Genoa W vs Fiorentina W Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 21 Stadio Luigi Ferraris· Genoa Saturday, May 9, 2026 13:00

Genoa W PPG 0.70

2-3 MISS

Fiorentina W PPG 1.20

Home· +15.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +15.3%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -1.6%

Away 44.9%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -27.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.90 -11.7%

Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 3.25 -15.3%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.85 -3.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa W

0.95

Fiorentina W

1.49

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.70) vs Away AVERAGE (1.20)