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Italy - Serie A Women Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00 
AS Roma W PPG 2.40 
Genoa W PPG 0.30
Italy - Serie A Women Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00 AS Roma W PPG 2.402-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Genoa W PPG 0.30Away· +44.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.40 -14.0%
Over 3.5 41.1% Odds: 2.00 -17.8%
BTTS 49.0% Odds: 2.20 +7.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✔
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 4-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma W 2.65
Genoa W 0.61
Model Suggestion
Home -24.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+44.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+44.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 24 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 38%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -71.2%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away POOR (0.30) - Strong consensus