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Italy - Serie A Women logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 22 Stadio Libero Liberati· Terni Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00
Ternana W logo Ternana W PPG 1.00
1-0 MISS
AC Milan W logo AC Milan W PPG 1.40
Home· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.9%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +7.2%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -1.4%
Away 47.6%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -22.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%
Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: 2.75 -14.6%
BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.67 -13.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ternana W
0.98
AC Milan W
1.67

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 38%
BTTS/No 42%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -71.2%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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