Napoli W vs Sassuolo W Prediction & Tips

Italy - Serie A Women Regular Season - 22 Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo· Cercola Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00

Napoli W PPG 1.40

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Sassuolo W PPG 0.90

Draw· -6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 52.4%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -9.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -6.6%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -7.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.80 -14.3%

Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: 3.00 -19.9%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.73 -14.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Napoli W

1.60

Sassuolo W

0.81

Model SuggestionHome -9.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -9.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 38%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -71.2%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.90)