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Atalanta U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:00

Atalanta U20

PPG 1.66 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Roma U20

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.6%0-25.2%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.6%1-111.6%1-27.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-18.8%2-26.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.3%3-14.5%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 35.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 40.2% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atalanta U201.5

Roma U201.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ATALANTA U20 · PPG 1.66

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.17 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atalanta U20 (H) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Roma U20 (A) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atalanta U20 face Roma U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atalanta U20 a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Roma U20 36%, so Atalanta U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atalanta U20 and 1.4 for Roma U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atalanta U20 are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.69 for Roma U20. This match finished 1-3.

Atalanta U20 vs Roma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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