Today / Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 / Monza U20 vs Genoa U20

Monza U20 vs Genoa U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:45

Monza U20

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Genoa U20

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-18.3%0-25.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.2%1-112.2%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-19.0%2-25.4%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.7%3-14.4%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 39.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–0 10.2%

#4 0–0 6.9%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Monza U201.5

Genoa U201.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MONZA U20 · PPG 1.21

GENOA U20 · PPG 1.34

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Monza U20 (H) 43.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Genoa U20 (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Monza U20 face Genoa U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Monza U20 a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Genoa U20 29%, so Monza U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Monza U20 and 1.2 for Genoa U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Monza U20 are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.34 for Genoa U20. This match finished 0-1.

Monza U20 vs Genoa U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 Predictions