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Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:45

Fiorentina U20

PPG 2.04 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hellas Verona U20

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-17.2%0-23.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.8%1-111.7%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.5%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.8%3-15.2%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.4% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 48.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fiorentina U201.6

Hellas Verona U201.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FIORENTINA U20 · PPG 2.04

HELLAS VERONA U20 · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fiorentina U20 (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hellas Verona U20 (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fiorentina U20 face Hellas Verona U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fiorentina U20 a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Hellas Verona U20 25%, so Fiorentina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Fiorentina U20 and 1.1 for Hellas Verona U20 (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fiorentina U20 are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 1.14 for Hellas Verona U20. This match finished 0-1.

Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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