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Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:00

Cagliari U20

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bologna U20

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-17.8%0-25.0%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.2%1-111.8%1-27.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.0%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.5%3-14.5%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 51.2% — — —

Over 3.5 31.4% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cagliari U201.5

Bologna U201.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 31.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CAGLIARI U20 · PPG 1.42

BOLOGNA U20 · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cagliari U20 (H) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bologna U20 (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cagliari U20 face Bologna U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cagliari U20 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Bologna U20 30%, so Cagliari U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cagliari U20 and 1.3 for Bologna U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cagliari U20 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.70 for Bologna U20. This match finished 1-3.

Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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