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Milan U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:00

Milan U20

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Torino U20

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-18.4%0-24.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.8%1-112.4%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.7%2-19.2%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.3%3-14.5%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 27.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milan U201.5

Torino U201.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MILAN U20 · PPG 1.42

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Milan U20 (H) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torino U20 (A) 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milan U20 face Torino U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milan U20 a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Torino U20 27%, so Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Milan U20 and 1.0 for Torino U20 (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milan U20 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.17 for Torino U20. This match finished 3-2.

Milan U20 vs Torino U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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