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Roma U20 vs Monza U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 09:00

Roma U20

PPG 1.47 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Monza U20

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-18.4%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.1%1-112.3%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.1%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.1%3-14.4%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 50.9% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 2–0 10.3%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Roma U201.5

Monza U200.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ROMA U20 · PPG 1.47

MONZA U20 · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Roma U20 (H) 50.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Monza U20 (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Roma U20 face Monza U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roma U20 a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Monza U20 24%, so Roma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Roma U20 and 0.9 for Monza U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roma U20 are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.45 for Monza U20. This match finished 3-2.

Roma U20 vs Monza U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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