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Juventus U20 vs Parma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:45

Juventus U20

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Parma U20

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.1%0-25.5%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-112.6%1-27.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-18.7%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.3%3-14.0%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 52.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 2–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventus U201.4

Parma U201.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.69

PARMA U20 · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventus U20 (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Parma U20 (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventus U20 face Parma U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventus U20 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Parma U20 29%, so Juventus U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Juventus U20 and 1.2 for Parma U20 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventus U20 are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.63 for Parma U20. This match finished 2-2.

Juventus U20 vs Parma U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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