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Genoa U20 vs Internazionale U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:45

Genoa U20

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Internazionale U20

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-16.7%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.3%1-111.1%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.8%3-15.1%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.1%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.0% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Genoa U201.7

Internazionale U201.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GENOA U20 · PPG 1.42

INTERNAZIONALE U20 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Genoa U20 (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Internazionale U20 (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Genoa U20 face Internazionale U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Genoa U20 a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Internazionale U20 29%, so Genoa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Genoa U20 and 1.3 for Internazionale U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Genoa U20 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.17 for Internazionale U20. This match finished 0-1.

Genoa U20 vs Internazionale U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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