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Torino U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:00

Torino U20

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

LD ···

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lecce U20

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.1%0-24.5%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.1%1-111.5%1-27.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.4%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.9%3-15.0%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.7% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 7.2%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torino U201.6

Lecce U201.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TORINO U20 · PPG 1.48

LECCE U20 · PPG 1.34

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torino U20 (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lecce U20 (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Torino U20 face Lecce U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torino U20 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Lecce U20 29%, so Torino U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Torino U20 and 1.3 for Lecce U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torino U20 are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.34 for Lecce U20. This match finished 3-3.

Torino U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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