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Cesena U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:45

Cesena U20

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Milan U20

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.1%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.7%1-111.6%1-26.9%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.9%2-19.4%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.1%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 35.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cesena U201.6

Milan U201.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CESENA U20 · PPG 1.96

MILAN U20 · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cesena U20 (H) 44.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Milan U20 (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cesena U20 face Milan U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cesena U20 a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Milan U20 29%, so Cesena U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cesena U20 and 1.2 for Milan U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cesena U20 are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 1.31 for Milan U20. This match finished 1-1.

Cesena U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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