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Parma U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:00

Parma U20

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sassuolo U20

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.5%0-23.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.9%1-111.3%1-25.8%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.4%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.4%3-15.6%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.6%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 30.8% — — —

BTTS 52.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 0–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parma U201.7

Sassuolo U201.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PARMA U20 · PPG 1.73

SASSUOLO U20 · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.70 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Parma U20 (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sassuolo U20 (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Parma U20 face Sassuolo U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parma U20 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Sassuolo U20 24%, so Parma U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Parma U20 and 1.0 for Sassuolo U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parma U20 are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.25 for Sassuolo U20. This match finished 4-0.

Parma U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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