Leagues / GERMANY / Regionalliga - Nordost
Regionalliga - Nordost
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 36 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
61.1%
1X2
22/36
63.9%
O/U 2.5
23/36
55.6%
BTTS
20/36
47.2%
Exact score
17/36
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
24
Settled
70.8%
Hit rate
17/24
1.56
Avg odds
+9.8%
ROI
+2.3u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=10 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · -7.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=9 77.8% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +20.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.61 · -4.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · +65.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-21.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+68.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
17
Bets
65%
Hit
-3.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS
16 MAY Altglienicke vs BFC Preussen BTTS -12% 1–0 MISS16 MAY Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig Over 2.5 -24% 1–0 MISS16 MAY Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde BTTS -16% 1–1 HIT16 MAY Lok. Leipzig vs Magdeburg B Over 2.5 -20% 5–2 HIT16 MAY H. Zehlendorf vs Greifswald BTTS -21% 2–3 HIT16 MAY Eilenburg vs Hallescher Away -20% 0–5 HIT16 MAY Carl Zeiss Jena vs RW Erfurt BTTS -14% 2–0 MISS16 MAY BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC BTTS -10% 2–2 HIT16 MAY Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin B Over 2.5 -8% 3–1 HIT10 MAY Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo BTTS 0–1 MISS10 MAY Magdeburg B vs Babelsberg BTTS 6–4 HIT10 MAY Greifswald vs Lok. Leipzig BTTS 1–1 HIT9 MAY RW Erfurt vs H. Zehlendorf Home 5–2 HIT9 MAY BFC Preussen vs Meuselwitz Over 2.5 2–1 HIT9 MAY Chemnitzer FC vs Zwickau Over 2.5 +1% 3–2 HIT