Today / Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost / RW Erfurt vs H. Zehlendorf

RW Erfurt vs H. Zehlendorf Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

RW Erfurt

PPG 1.69 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

H. Zehlendorf

PPG 0.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.69), Away POOR (0.31) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-12.0%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.7%1-15.9%1-22.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.7%2-18.5%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.3%3-18.2%3-23.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-013.7%4+-111.9%4+-25.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.6% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 12.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 51.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 66% / xG 2.9-0.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.7%

#2 3–0 9.3%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RW Erfurt2.9

H. Zehlendorf0.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RW ERFURT · PPG 1.69

H. ZEHLENDORF · PPG 0.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.69), Away POOR (0.31) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

RW Erfurt (H) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

H. Zehlendorf (A) 12.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

RW Erfurt face H. Zehlendorf in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RW Erfurt a 66% chance, the draw 22% and H. Zehlendorf 12%, so RW Erfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for RW Erfurt and 0.9 for H. Zehlendorf (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RW Erfurt are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.31 for H. Zehlendorf. This match finished 5-2.

RW Erfurt vs H. Zehlendorf Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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