Carl Zeiss Jena vs RW Erfurt Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 34 Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld· Jena Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00

Carl Zeiss Jena PPG 2.44

2-0 HIT CS3

RW Erfurt PPG 1.94

Away· +0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.5%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -15.1%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -1.9%

Away 25.8%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +0.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.48 -12.5%

Over 3.5 35.3% Odds: 2.20 -22.3%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Carl Zeiss Jena

1.71

RW Erfurt

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.44) > Away GOOD (1.94)