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Magdeburg B vs Babelsberg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Magdeburg B

PPG 1.44 · HOME

6 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Babelsberg

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.0%0-23.4%0-32.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-04.7%1-18.2%1-27.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.2%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.3%3-15.7%3-24.9%3-32.8%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.6%4+-24.0%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 32.9% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 51.9% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 43% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magdeburg B2.0

Babelsberg1.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGDEBURG B · PPG 1.44

BABELSBERG · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Magdeburg B (H) 42.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Babelsberg (A) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Magdeburg B face Babelsberg in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magdeburg B a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Babelsberg 33%, so Magdeburg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Magdeburg B and 1.7 for Babelsberg (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magdeburg B are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.38 for Babelsberg. This match finished 6-4.

Magdeburg B vs Babelsberg Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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