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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 34 bluechip-Arena· Meuselwitz Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Meuselwitz logo Meuselwitz PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Luckenwalde logo Luckenwalde PPG 1.44
Away· +3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.0%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -22.6%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.7%
Away 36.9%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +3.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.67 -12.2%
Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: 2.70 -15.4%
BTTS 54.2% Odds: 1.55 -16.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Meuselwitz
1.30
Luckenwalde
1.35

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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