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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost
Nordost - 34
bluechip-Arena· Meuselwitz
Saturday, May 16, 2026
12:00
Meuselwitz
PPG 1.00
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Luckenwalde
PPG 1.44
Away· +3.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
36.0%
Odds: 2.15
EV: -22.6%
Draw
27.1%
Odds: 3.65
EV: -0.7%
Away
36.9%
Odds: 2.80
EV: +3.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.67
-12.2%
Over 3.5
27.5%
Odds: 2.70
-15.4%
BTTS
54.2%
Odds: 1.55
-16.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Meuselwitz
1.30
Luckenwalde
1.35
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-16.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+3.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.44)