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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost
Nordost - 34
Stadion Lichterfelde· Berlin
Saturday, May 16, 2026
12:00
H. Zehlendorf
PPG 0.56
2-3
MISS
Greifswald
PPG 1.00
Draw· +1.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
24.9%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -9.2%
Draw
27.5%
Odds: 3.70
EV: +1.1%
Away
47.6%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -11.9%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
51.1%
Odds: 1.62
-17.2%
Over 3.5
26.0%
Odds: 2.55
-20.2%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.53
-21.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
H. Zehlendorf
0.96
Greifswald
1.63
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-21.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: POOR (0.56) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)