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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 34 Stadion Lichterfelde· Berlin Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
H. Zehlendorf logo H. Zehlendorf PPG 0.56
2-3 MISS
Greifswald logo Greifswald PPG 1.00
Draw· +1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.2%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +1.1%
Away 47.6%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -11.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: 1.62 -17.2%
Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: 2.55 -20.2%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.53 -21.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

H. Zehlendorf
0.96
Greifswald
1.63

Model Suggestion

BTTS -21.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.56) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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