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Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 34 Bruno-Plache-Stadion· Leipzig Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Lok. Leipzig logo Lok. Leipzig PPG 2.13
5-2 MISS
Magdeburg B logo Magdeburg B PPG 1.44
Away· +58.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.3%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -33.1%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +12.9%
Away 23.5%
Odds: 8.40 EV: +58.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 1.38 -20.0%
Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 1.93 -37.3%
BTTS 53.4% Odds: 1.60 -14.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lok. Leipzig
1.86
Magdeburg B
1.01

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+58.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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