Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 1.38 -20.0%
Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 1.93 -37.3%
BTTS 53.4% Odds: 1.60 -14.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+58.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)