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Eilenburg vs Hallescher Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Eilenburg

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hallescher

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-110.9%0-210.1%0-36.2%0-4+4.4%1 1-05.8%1-110.7%1-29.9%1-36.1%1-4+4.3%2 2-02.8%2-15.2%2-24.8%2-33.0%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.9%3-11.7%3-21.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% 19.6% 5.10 +10.4%

Draw 23.9% 24.4% 4.10 -1.2%

Away win 53.2% 66.7% 1.50 -20.2%

Over 2.5 52.6% 66.7% 1.50 -21.1%

Over 3.5 31.5% 45.5% 2.20 -30.7%

BTTS 52.6% 64.5% 1.55 -18.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob52.6%

A 53% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 0–2 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eilenburg1.0

Hallescher1.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EILENBURG · PPG 1.00

HALLESCHER · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Eilenburg (H) 23.0%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +10.4%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -1.2%

Hallescher (A) 53.2%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -20.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eilenburg face Hallescher in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eilenburg a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Hallescher 53%, so Hallescher are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Eilenburg and 1.9 for Hallescher (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eilenburg are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.56 for Hallescher. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.4%. This match finished 0-5.

Eilenburg vs Hallescher Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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