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Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Luckenwalde

PPG 1.19 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

BFC Dynamo

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away POOR (0.94)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.3%0-26.0%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.1%1-113.0%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-18.2%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.4%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 17%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

H 37% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 0–1✓ 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Luckenwalde1.3

BFC Dynamo1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LUCKENWALDE · PPG 1.19

BFC DYNAMO · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Luckenwalde (H) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

BFC Dynamo (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Luckenwalde face BFC Dynamo in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Luckenwalde a 37% chance, the draw 28% and BFC Dynamo 36%, so Luckenwalde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Luckenwalde and 1.2 for BFC Dynamo (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Luckenwalde are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.94 for BFC Dynamo. This match finished 0-1.

Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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