3. Liga
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming 3. Liga predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT17:00 FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen Over 2.5 62% 1.55 -4%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 50 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
62.0%
1X2
31/50
70.0%
O/U 2.5
35/50
66.0%
BTTS
33/50
28.0%
Exact score
14/50
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
13
Settled
69.2%
Hit rate
9/13
1.62
Avg odds
+16.0%
ROI
+2.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=8 87.5% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +36.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.75 · -26.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -2.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+51.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+45.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-33.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 4 PICKS · 3 HIT · 1 MISS
30 AUG FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock Over 2.5 +3% 2–4 HIT30 AUG Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim Over 2.5 -8% 3–2 HIT29 AUG SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen Over 2.5 -4% 0–0 MISS29 AUG Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg BTTS -9% 5–1 HITMay 2026 // 11 PICKS · 8 HIT · 3 MISS
16 MAY Saarbrucken vs Hansa Rostock BTTS -21% 3–4 HIT16 MAY Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Over 2.5 -14% 0–1 MISS16 MAY MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Koln Over 2.5 -7% 1–1 MISS16 MAY Alemannia A. vs Havelse Over 2.5 -18% 6–1 HIT16 MAY FC Ingolstadt vs Mannheim Over 2.5 -9% 5–1 HIT16 MAY Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hoffenheim B Over 2.5 -7% 2–0 MISS16 MAY VfB Stuttgart B vs Osnabruck BTTS -21% 3–4 HIT16 MAY Verl vs 1860 Munchen Over 2.5 -12% 3–0 HIT16 MAY Schweinfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue Over 2.5 -11% 2–4 HIT10 MAY Havelse vs Schweinfurt Over 2.5 -11% 3–2 HIT10 MAY Viktoria Koln vs Alemannia A. Over 2.5 -8% 0–3 HIT