3. Liga
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 46 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
63.0%
1X2
29/46
69.6%
O/U 2.5
32/46
65.2%
BTTS
30/46
30.4%
Exact score
14/46
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
46
Settled
69.6%
Hit rate
32/46
1.50
Avg odds
+4.5%
ROI
+2.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=26 73.1% HIT · AVG 1.49 · +7.8% ROI
BTTS · N=15 73.3% HIT · AVG 1.45 · +6.1% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.75 · -26.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -2.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+44.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
100%
Hit
+47.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
75%
Hit
+24.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
33
Bets
64%
Hit
-6.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS
16 MAY Verl vs 1860 Munchen Over 2.5 -12% 3–0 HIT16 MAY Schweinfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue Over 2.5 -11% 2–4 HIT16 MAY Saarbrucken vs Hansa Rostock BTTS -21% 3–4 HIT16 MAY Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Over 2.5 -14% 0–1 MISS16 MAY MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Koln Over 2.5 -7% 1–1 MISS16 MAY FC Ingolstadt vs Mannheim Over 2.5 -9% 5–1 HIT16 MAY Alemannia A. vs Havelse Over 2.5 -18% 6–1 HIT16 MAY Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hoffenheim B Over 2.5 -7% 2–0 MISS16 MAY VfB Stuttgart B vs Osnabruck BTTS -21% 3–4 HIT10 MAY Havelse vs Schweinfurt Over 2.5 -11% 3–2 HIT10 MAY Viktoria Koln vs Alemannia A. Over 2.5 -8% 0–3 HIT10 MAY Hoffenheim B vs Saarbrucken Over 2.5 -15% 3–2 HIT9 MAY RW Essen vs Verl BTTS -18% 1–0 MISS9 MAY Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart B Over 2.5 -11% 5–3 HIT9 MAY 1860 Munchen vs FC Ingolstadt Over 2.5 -11% 1–2 HIT